Will AI Judge Olympic Boxing in the Future?

Control During Training and Competition Will Be Crucial

The uphe­avals that have taken place—and in some respects are still taking place—in Olym­pic boxing affect not only the sport’s inter­na­tio­nal gover­ning bodies. World Boxing has repla­ced the IBA (form­er­ly AIBA) as the new world gover­ning body, ther­eby hel­ping to secu­re the sur­vi­val of boxing as an Olym­pic sport.

The chan­ges may soon reach deep into the “engi­ne room” of com­pe­ti­ti­on ope­ra­ti­ons. On June 18, 2026, World Boxing announ­ced a stra­te­gi­cal­ly focu­sed part­ner­ship with the Chi­ne­se com­pa­ny Xem­power as its pre­fer­red tech­no­lo­gy part­ner. This deve­lo­p­ment deser­ves clo­ser examination.

Xempower Becomes a World Boxing Partner

The part­ner­ship initi­al­ly con­cerns so-cal­led Event Ope­ra­ti­on & Manage­ment Sys­tems (EOMS). The­se are the plat­forms and soft­ware requi­red or useful for run­ning major tour­na­ments such as world cham­pi­on­ships. Their func­tions pri­ma­ri­ly include regis­tering com­pe­ti­tors, con­duc­ting the tour­na­ment draw, sche­du­ling and admi­nis­te­ring bouts across mul­ti­ple rings, recor­ding jud­ges’ scores and con­so­li­da­ting them into bout decis­i­ons, cal­cu­la­ting the tournament’s pro­gress from round to round, pro­du­cing result lists, assig­ning offi­ci­als to indi­vi­du­al events, rings and posi­ti­ons, and gene­ra­ting tour­na­ment statistics.

Farewell to Swiss Timing’s Boxpointer?

At the inter­na­tio­nal com­pe­ti­ti­on level, Xem­power could the­r­e­fo­re gra­du­al­ly replace the sys­tem deve­lo­ped by Swiss Timing that has been fami­li­ar for deca­des and is often refer­red to as the Box­poin­ter. Xem­power has alre­a­dy demons­tra­ted the capa­bi­li­ties of its EOMS at seve­ral major tour­na­ments. The­se have included, for exam­p­le, the U19 World Cham­pi­on­ships in the United Sta­tes, the U17 Euro­pean Cham­pi­on­ships in Ger­ma­ny, the World Boxing Cups in Chi­na and Bra­zil, and most recent­ly the U19 Euro­pean Cham­pi­on­ships in Serbia—all of which were alre­a­dy con­duc­ted using Xempower’s EOMS.

Many peo­p­le may not even have noti­ced the chan­ge from Swiss Timing to Xem­power, becau­se the stan­dard com­pe­ti­ti­on docu­ments gene­ra­ted by Xempower—draws, bout sche­du­les and results—closely resem­ble tho­se pre­vious­ly fami­li­ar from Swiss Timing. Appar­ent­ly, Swiss Timing had estab­lished stan­dards in the EOMS field with its docu­men­ta­ti­on that even a com­pe­ti­tor could not sim­ply ignore.

Xempower’s Ambitions Extend Beyond EOMS

That, howe­ver, will pro­ba­b­ly be litt­le con­so­la­ti­on to Swiss Timing. World Boxing descri­bed Xem­power mere­ly as its pre­fer­red tech­no­lo­gy partner—a for­mu­la­ti­on that does not grant the Chi­ne­se com­pa­ny exclu­si­vi­ty and would pre­su­ma­b­ly allow Swiss Timing to remain in use, at least for the time being. Nevert­hel­ess, the gover­ning body’s state­ment can reason­ab­ly be inter­pre­ted as indi­ca­ting that it sees the future with Xem­power.

The objec­ti­ves invol­ved are high­ly ambi­tious and extend far bey­ond the pro­vi­si­on of an EOMS. In its state­ment of June 18, the world gover­ning body expli­cit­ly said that Xem­power would in future explo­re pos­si­bi­li­ties for AI-assis­ted tools for the trai­ning of officials—primarily jud­ges, presumably—and for the deve­lo­p­ment of scoring solutions.

Info­box: Xempower
Find out more about Xem­power, World Boxing’s new tech­no­lo­gy partner …

Xem­power was foun­ded in 2015 in Nan­jing, Chi­na, by Cai Yongjun, who is often refer­red to inter­na­tio­nal­ly as Tho­mas Cai. A for­mer pro­fes­sio­nal boxer and boxing coach, he foun­ded the com­pa­ny with a back­ground roo­ted direct­ly in the sport.

The com­pa­ny spe­cia­li­zes in sports tech­no­lo­gy and digi­tal event manage­ment. In addi­ti­on to boxing, it has been or is acti­ve in are­as inclu­ding skate­boar­ding, rol­ler sports, breaking/street dance, as well as run­ning and mass-par­ti­ci­pa­ti­on sport­ing events.

Along­side his entre­pre­neu­ri­al acti­vi­ties, Cai Yongjun has been invol­ved in Chi­ne­se and inter­na­tio­nal sport for many years. Among other roles and affi­lia­ti­ons, he has been asso­cia­ted with Chi­ne­se Olym­pic teams and sports federations.

In boxing, Xem­power deve­lo­ps elec­tro­nic and AI-assis­ted sys­tems for bout ana­ly­sis and jud­ging sup­port; a rele­vant patent appli­ca­ti­on was alre­a­dy filed in 2021.

Accor­ding to Xem­power, its sys­tems com­bi­ne high-reso­lu­ti­on came­ras, com­pu­ter visi­on and sen­sor tech­no­lo­gy to cap­tu­re, among other things, pun­ches, lan­ded blows and move­ment patterns.

Even befo­re its cur­rent part­ner­ship with World Boxing, Xem­power had been in dis­cus­sions with the World Boxing Coun­cil (WBC) about the use of tech­no­lo­gy to sup­port boxing jud­ging. In 2024, Cai Yongjun pre­sen­ted the company’s AI-assis­ted boxing sys­tem there.

In 2025, the US gover­ning body USA Boxing con­firm­ed the use of Xem­power tech­no­lo­gy, inclu­ding AI-based bout ana­ly­sis, at sel­ec­ted events and in its high-per­for­mance pro­gram. Sin­ce 2026, Xem­power has also been a stra­te­gic tech­no­lo­gy part­ner of World Boxing.

Xem­power descri­bes its­elf as a “Mem­ber Unit” (委员单位) of the Chi­ne­se Natio­nal Olym­pic Com­mit­tee (NOC) and has demons­tra­b­ly work­ed with China’s Gene­ral Admi­nis­tra­ti­on of Sport and other govern­ment sports aut­ho­ri­ties. This does not, howe­ver, mean that Xem­power is a Chi­ne­se sta­te-owned enter­pri­se or that it is under govern­ment control.

IOC Called for Improvements in Officiating Performance

It is hard­ly sur­pri­sing that jud­ging in Olym­pic boxing is beco­ming a focus of atten­ti­on. Jud­ging is an extre­me­ly com­plex pro­cess, making it poten­ti­al­ly pro­ne to error and not always easy to under­stand or veri­fy. As a result, it is also com­pa­ra­tively dif­fi­cult to pro­tect against exter­nal influence. For all the­se reasons, jud­ging in Olym­pic boxing has long been sub­ject to criticism.

A par­ti­cu­lar­ly low point at the inter­na­tio­nal level was undoub­ted­ly the 2016 Olym­pic Games in Rio de Janei­ro. All AIBA refe­rees and jud­ges at the Rio Games—IBA was cal­led AIBA at the time—were sub­se­quent­ly remo­ved from offi­ci­a­ting duties. A later inves­ti­ga­ti­on report com­mis­sio­ned from the renow­ned sports lawy­er Richard McLa­ren refer­red to mani­pu­la­ti­on, but was unable to iden­ti­fy spe­ci­fic indi­vi­du­als responsible.

It is the­r­e­fo­re unsur­pri­sing that, fol­lo­wing Rio, the Inter­na­tio­nal Olym­pic Com­mit­tee (IOC) repea­ted­ly and empha­ti­cal­ly cal­led for fun­da­men­tal impro­ve­ments in offi­ci­a­ting per­for­mance. In the incre­asing­ly serious dis­pu­te bet­ween the IBA and the IOC—which ulti­m­ate­ly led to the IBA’s pro­vi­sio­nal exclu­si­on in 2019 and per­ma­nent exclu­si­on in 2023—this remain­ed, along­side other important issues, a cen­tral con­cern until the end.

It is the­r­e­fo­re under­stan­da­ble that the new world gover­ning body World Boxing has pla­ced offi­ci­a­ting per­for­mance and jud­ging at the top of its agen­da. It will pre­su­ma­b­ly want to demons­tra­te to the IOC that it is capa­ble of safe­guar­ding the inte­gri­ty of com­pe­ti­ti­on. Inci­dents such as tho­se that occur­red in Rio in 2016 are not sup­po­sed to hap­pen again under its aut­ho­ri­ty in Olym­pic boxing.

Scoring Is Still Largely Done Without Data

Sin­ce the intro­duc­tion of the 10-point must sys­tem, fami­li­ar from pro­fes­sio­nal boxing, in 2013—appropriately, at the World Cham­pi­on­ships in Alma­ty, Kazakhstan—judges have gene­ral­ly no lon­ger coun­ted indi­vi­du­al pun­ches. Why would they? Under this scoring sys­tem, the win­ner of a round is always award­ed 10 points, while the boxer who loses the round recei­ves 9, 8 or 7 points, depen­ding on the degree of their inferiority.

The fac­tor that is sup­po­sed to deter­mi­ne the scoring is cle­ar­ly spe­ci­fied in the rules: the num­ber of qua­li­ty blows lan­ded within the rules is inten­ded to deter­mi­ne who wins the bout. At its core, this prin­ci­ple has remain­ed unch­an­ged over the years and despi­te chan­ges in gover­ning bodies. Only when the bout can­not be cle­ar­ly deci­ded on the basis of the num­ber of qua­li­ty blows are tech­ni­cal and tac­ti­cal con­side­ra­ti­ons sup­po­sed to come into play.

In other words, Olym­pic boxing is actual­ly inten­ded to be jud­ged pri­ma­ri­ly on quan­ti­ta­ti­ve grounds, much as ath­le­tics often mea­su­res times or distances, or as many team sports count goals. Yet this quan­ti­ta­ti­ve approach stands in a remar­kab­le con­trast to the fact that, fol­lo­wing the intro­duc­tion of the 10-point must sys­tem, meaningful quan­ti­ta­ti­ve data are gene­ral­ly no lon­ger coll­ec­ted at all.

In prac­ti­ce, the 10-point must sys­tem has shifted jud­ging from what is essen­ti­al­ly an objec­ti­fia­ble quan­ti­ta­ti­ve domain into a more sub­jec­ti­ve qua­li­ta­ti­ve one. In the end, jud­ges more or less sim­ply deci­de who they belie­ve was the bet­ter boxer—and they gene­ral­ly do so wit­hout a robust empi­ri­cal data set to sup­port that judgment.

Expe­ri­en­ced jud­ges nevert­hel­ess tend to get their decis­i­ons right most of the time—but not always. Jud­ges are not born with expe­ri­ence; they have to acqui­re it. And until they have accu­mu­la­ted suf­fi­ci­ent expe­ri­ence, they will some­ti­mes have to make decis­i­ons in a fog­gy grey area whe­re the available evi­dence is ambiguous.

Info­box: Pre­vious Scoring Methods in Olym­pic Boxing
Learn more about how scoring was con­duc­ted in Olym­pic boxing in the past and how mea­su­res were inten­ded to pre­vent undue influence …

Cri­ti­cism of jud­ges’ per­for­man­ces and of the scoring methods used in Olym­pic boxing, howe­ver, dates back fur­ther than 2016. Rio was mere­ly a low point that unfold­ed on the par­ti­cu­lar­ly pro­mi­nent stage of the Olym­pic Games. The­re had the­r­e­fo­re alre­a­dy been seve­ral attempts in the past to intro­du­ce modi­fied scoring methods that would pro­du­ce bet­ter, more trans­pa­rent, and ulti­m­ate­ly more tam­per-resistant com­pe­ti­ti­on decisions.

In ear­lier sys­tems, for exam­p­le, jud­ges had to record every valid scoring blow for Red and Blue indi­vi­du­al­ly using the input device of the Box­poin­ter scoring sys­tem. The­se scores were included in the over­all tal­ly only if all jud­ges ente­red such a scoring blow within a short time win­dow. The pur­po­se was to pre­vent jud­ges from ente­ring scores fol­lo­wing pri­or agree­ments and wit­hout any tem­po­ral con­nec­tion to the actu­al cour­se of the bout—for exam­p­le, by ente­ring them cumu­la­tively at the end of the round.

Ano­ther attempt to impro­ve round scoring invol­ved the com­pu­ter con­ti­nuous­ly remo­ving the two scores that devia­ted most from the avera­ge score of all five jud­ges from the run­ning total during the bout. The inten­ti­on was to make it more dif­fi­cult for an indi­vi­du­al judge to lite­ral­ly “push through” a result that dif­fe­red from the assess­ments of the other jud­ges. Under this method, the more pro­no­un­ced the attempt to do so, the grea­ter the likeli­hood that the judge’s score would be excluded from the calculation.

All of the­se approa­ches had inte­res­t­ing aspects. In prac­ti­ce, howe­ver, they were nevert­hel­ess asso­cia­ted with spe­ci­fic dif­fi­cul­ties and the­r­e­fo­re fai­led to achie­ve the results that had been hoped for:

  • Recor­ding every indi­vi­du­al scoring blow requi­res not only an excep­tio­nal­ly high level of tech­ni­cal exper­ti­se in boxing offi­ci­a­ting, but also demands such a high degree of con­cen­tra­ti­on from jud­ges at rings­ide that they would rea­li­sti­cal­ly have to be reli­e­ved on a con­ti­nuous basis. It seems vir­tual­ly impos­si­ble for the same jud­ging panel to main­tain a con­sis­tent level of con­cen­tra­ti­on while scoring fif­teen or twen­ty bouts in succession.
  • Exclu­ding jud­ges’ scores that devia­ted sub­stan­ti­al­ly from the avera­ge during the cour­se of the bout resul­ted in unex­pec­ted swings in the scoring. A boxer who had appeared to hold a com­for­ta­ble lead only moments ear­lier could sud­den­ly find hims­elf behind short­ly befo­re the end of a round if jud­ges who had him ahead were remo­ved from the calculation—even if their scores dif­fe­red from the avera­ge by only a rela­tively small margin.

Ulti­m­ate­ly, howe­ver, none of the­se approa­ches pro­du­ced a tru­ly satis­fac­to­ry result. Jud­ging decis­i­ons in Olym­pic boxing remain­ed con­tro­ver­si­al and con­tin­ued to be a fre­quent source of doubt.

AI Could Potentially Assist with Analysis

It now appears that the use of AI could help impro­ve the jud­ging of Olym­pic boxing bouts. One con­ceiva­ble approach would be to record the bout using came­ras from mul­ti­ple per­spec­ti­ves and have the foo­ta­ge ana­ly­zed by AI. Sen­sors could mea­su­re and trans­mit acce­le­ra­ti­on, velo­ci­ty, angles and force, sup­ple­men­ting the infor­ma­ti­on available to the system.

Other obser­va­ti­on para­me­ters could poten­ti­al­ly also be con­side­red, such as suc­cessful defen­si­ve actions, the boxers’ direc­tions of move­ment and con­trol of the cen­ter of the ring. Jud­ges could then base their scoring on sta­tis­ti­cal ana­ly­ses of lan­ded pun­ches, pun­ches thrown, punch force and other variables.

Eine schematische Zeichnung mit der Aufstellung von Kameras um den Boxring, die eine mögliche Anwendung von KI bei Boxkämpfen illustriert.
Figu­re abo­ve: A sche­ma­tic repre­sen­ta­ti­on of one con­ceiva­ble appli­ca­ti­on of AI in the scoring of a boxing bout. Four came­ras are posi­tio­ned around the ring to record the bout. The video signals are fed into an AI sys­tem, which ana­ly­zes the recor­dings and dis­tri­bu­tes the results to the five jud­ges’ posi­ti­ons (sym­bo­li­zed by the white tables with the bow tie as an icon, along­side a small screen dis­play­ing a bar chart as a sym­bol of the sta­tis­ti­cal ana­ly­sis). Quite apart from fun­da­men­tal ques­ti­ons con­cer­ning pos­si­ble inter­fe­rence with AI sys­tems, the sys­tem con­fi­gu­ra­ti­on shown here would have a pro­ble­ma­tic effect in prac­ti­ce: Four dif­fe­rent data sources (video signals from four dif­fe­rent per­spec­ti­ves) would be con­so­li­da­ted into a sin­gle ana­ly­sis that is then pro­vi­ded iden­ti­cal­ly to all five jud­ges. This could encou­ra­ge a form of “syn­chro­niza­ti­on” among the five jud­ges, even though they are expli­cit­ly expec­ted to make their assess­ments inde­pendent­ly of one another.
Eine schematische Zeichnung mit der Aufstellung von Kameras um den Boxring, die eine mögliche Anwendung von KI bei Boxkämpfen illustriert.
Figu­re abo­ve: A sche­ma­tic repre­sen­ta­ti­on of ano­ther con­ceiva­ble appli­ca­ti­on of AI in the scoring of a boxing bout. Again, four came­ras are posi­tio­ned around the ring to record the bout. In this con­fi­gu­ra­ti­on, howe­ver, the video signals are fed into sepa­ra­te AI sys­tems, each of which ana­ly­zes the recor­ding from its respec­ti­ve came­ra per­spec­ti­ve. In this exam­p­le, the resul­ting ana­ly­ses are then pro­vi­ded to tho­se jud­ges’ posi­ti­ons that cor­re­spond to the respec­ti­ve came­ra per­spec­ti­ve (sym­bo­li­zed by the white tables with the bow tie as an icon, along­side a small screen dis­play­ing a bar chart as a sym­bol of the sta­tis­ti­cal ana­ly­sis). Quite apart from fun­da­men­tal ques­ti­ons con­cer­ning pos­si­ble inter­fe­rence with AI sys­tems, the sys­tem con­fi­gu­ra­ti­on shown here would have an advan­ta­ge over the con­fi­gu­ra­ti­on pre­sen­ted first: it would not, by design, crea­te a sys­te­mic ten­den­cy toward “syn­chro­niza­ti­on” among the judges.

Will AI Ultimately Make the Decisions in Practice?

The jud­ges would retain the final say if AI mere­ly pro­vi­ded them with ana­ly­ti­cal data. This is why such an approach is also refer­red to as AI-Assis­ted Jud­ging. But the ques­ti­on is whe­ther jud­ges would actual­ly make decis­i­ons that con­tra­dict the sta­tis­tics dis­play­ed to them.

This would be par­ti­cu­lar­ly dif­fi­cult if they them­sel­ves had no alter­na­ti­ve data on which to rely, lea­ving them with not­hing more than their sub­jec­ti­ve impres­si­on as a jus­ti­fi­ca­ti­on for a dif­fe­rent decision.

Info­box: The 10-Point-Must Scoring Sys­tem Intro­du­ced in Olym­pic Boxing in 2013
Learn more about the scoring sys­tem known from pro­fes­sio­nal boxing …

Wit­hout an under­ly­ing data basis, it must always be expec­ted that rounds which are not com­ple­te­ly clear-cut may be scored eit­her 10:9 or 9:10. By awar­ding 10:9 scores—regardless of which boxer recei­ves them—judges ope­ra­te within a com­fort zone at many com­pe­ti­ti­ons that lea­ves them lar­ge­ly bey­ond reproach.

It should the­r­e­fo­re come as no real sur­pri­se that jud­ges are reluc­tant to lea­ve this com­fort zone when they are requi­red to make quan­ti­ta­ti­ve decis­i­ons wit­hout an under­ly­ing data basis. They tend to depart from it with 10:8 scores only in very clear-cut cases. In prac­ti­ce, 10:7 scores are almost unhe­ard of.

If jud­ges pre­do­mi­nant­ly stick to 10:9 scores, they can often deflect cri­ti­cism: “Yes, I did con­sider scoring it dif­fer­ent­ly for quite some time, but in the end I was miss­ing one or two signi­fi­cant pun­ches.” After all, the dif­fe­rence bet­ween a 10:9 and a 9:10 can ulti­m­ate­ly be no more than the sligh­test of margins.

This could, inci­den­tal­ly, also pro­vi­de a poten­ti­al point of depar­tu­re for mani­pu­la­ti­on: if, in many cases, a 10:9 can be jus­ti­fied and defen­ded almost as plau­si­bly as a 9:10 becau­se the­re are no data to pro­vi­de cla­ri­ty, it is theo­re­ti­cal­ly con­ceiva­ble that pre­cis­e­ly such rounds could be award­ed to a par­ti­cu­lar cor­ner for reasons dri­ven by ves­ted inte­rests. The grey area in which jud­ges ope­ra­te in the absence of objec­ti­ve data makes mani­pu­la­ti­on extre­me­ly dif­fi­cult to prove.

It would the­r­e­fo­re be inte­res­t­ing to re-exami­ne the con­tro­ver­si­al scoring decis­i­ons at the 2016 Olym­pic Games in Rio in light of the fact that this was the first Olym­pic Games at which the 10-Point-Must scoring sys­tem was used.

Regaining the IOC’s Trust

World Boxing has inhe­ri­ted a dif­fi­cult lega­cy, becau­se its pre­de­ces­sor, the IBA, tho­rough­ly dama­ged boxing’s repu­ta­ti­on within the IOC. For some offi­ci­als in Lau­sanne, boxing may have beco­me some­thing of a red flag in recent years. The lost—or, more accu­ra­te­ly, destroyed—trust first has to be rebuilt and careful­ly main­tai­ned so that the new gover­ning body’s pro­vi­sio­nal reco­gni­ti­on can, as smooth­ly and soon as pos­si­ble, beco­me per­ma­nent recognition.

Against this back­ground, it is more than under­stan­da­ble that World Boxing is now serious­ly addres­sing long-stan­ding points of cri­ti­cism. Sin­ce Rio 2016 at the latest, the­se have included cri­ti­cism of offi­ci­a­ting per­for­mance, par­ti­cu­lar­ly scoring, which—at least in Olym­pic boxing—determines the out­co­me of more than 90 per­cent of bouts. One thing is clear: inci­dents such as tho­se that occur­red at the 2016 Olym­pic Games in Rio must not hap­pen again.

World Boxing appears to have cor­rect­ly iden­ti­fied the cen­tral defi­ci­en­cy of scoring: the lack of an empi­ri­cal data basis. Deci­ding medal posi­ti­ons wit­hout valid data is, given the capa­bi­li­ties available in the 21st cen­tu­ry, fun­da­men­tal­ly inap­pro­pria­te and sim­ply out­da­ted. After all, medal posi­ti­ons in the 100-meter sprint are not deci­ded by mere­ly wat­ching the finish line. Ins­tead, the ath­le­tes’ times are mea­su­red to two deci­mal places—to an accu­ra­cy of one hundredth of a second.

AI in Other Sports

Boxing would not be alo­ne in intro­du­cing AI-assis­ted judging—and it would not be a pio­neer, eit­her. Seve­ral other sports face chal­lenges simi­lar to tho­se encoun­te­red in boxing: com­plex, action-den­se move­ment sequen­ces with high­ly indi­vi­du­al pat­terns of exe­cu­ti­on have tra­di­tio­nal­ly had to be asses­sed more or less through direct obser­va­ti­on by officials.

  • In artis­tic gym­nastics, a Jud­ging Sup­port Sys­tem (JSS) deve­lo­ped by Fuji­tsu and the FIG has been in use sin­ce 2019. In 2023, it was expan­ded from a sen­sor-based sys­tem to came­ra-based, AI-assis­ted tech­no­lo­gy. The sys­tem is inten­ded to help pre­vent jud­ging errors.
  • Figu­re ska­ting is also curr­ent­ly working on the intro­duc­tion of AI, which is inten­ded to iden­ti­fy and eva­lua­te the tech­ni­ques per­for­med by ska­ters. This would give jud­ges more time to assess the artis­tic aspects of a performance.

AI Turns Data into Interpretations

The use of AI is the­r­e­fo­re expec­ted to pro­vi­de data. But it is worth taking a clo­ser look at the term “data.” The word is gene­ral­ly asso­cia­ted with indis­pu­ta­ble facts and the­r­e­fo­re with a high degree of objec­ti­vi­ty. In sports, data usual­ly also refers to some­thing that has been mea­su­red or counted—such as the time an ath­le­te needs to com­ple­te a 100-meter sprint, or the distance achie­ved in a dis­cus throw.

Howe­ver, the data that an AI sys­tem might pro­vi­de to jud­ges in a boxing bout are fun­da­men­tal­ly dif­fe­rent. They do not ori­gi­na­te from a stan­dar­di­zed, neu­tral mea­su­re­ment sys­tem. The values gene­ra­ted by the AI are the­r­e­fo­re not direct­ly mea­su­red facts. Rather, they are assess­ments and clas­si­fi­ca­ti­ons deri­ved from raw data accor­ding to trai­ned ins­truc­tions. They are the­r­e­fo­re bet­ter unders­tood as inter­pre­ta­ti­ons of data.

At most, the video recor­dings sup­pli­ed to the AI could be regard­ed as neu­tral data. They show—naturally from mul­ti­ple perspectives—only what hap­pen­ed in the boxing ring. But in order to ana­ly­ze that mate­ri­al, the AI must first have been trai­ned using data and, abo­ve all, ins­truc­tions con­cer­ning how that data should be interpreted.

The result depends hea­vi­ly, among other things, on how much data the AI is trai­ned on, which data are used, and which ins­truc­tions are incor­po­ra­ted into the trai­ning pro­cess. Wit­hout trai­ning, an AI sys­tem would have litt­le meaningful infor­ma­ti­on to con­tri­bu­te to the ana­ly­sis of a boxing bout.

This makes one important point clear: whoe­ver con­trols the trai­ning data, trai­ning pro­ce­du­res and model spe­ci­fi­ca­ti­ons of such a sys­tem can exert sub­stan­ti­al influence over its sub­se­quent ana­ly­ses. Such ana­ly­ses should the­r­e­fo­re not auto­ma­ti­cal­ly be regard­ed as neu­tral, objec­ti­ve and indis­pu­ta­ble data in the same way as, for exam­p­le, a mea­su­red distance.

Whoever Trains the AI Can Exert Influence

The intro­duc­tion of AI into the jud­ging of eli­te sport­ing com­pe­ti­ti­ons rai­ses a wide ran­ge of fun­da­men­tal ques­ti­ons. The con­sidera­ble influence that can poten­ti­al­ly be exer­ted during the AI trai­ning pro­cess and during its sub­se­quent ope­ra­ti­on crea­tes, in prin­ci­ple, the pos­si­bi­li­ty of deli­bera­te­ly or unin­ten­tio­nal­ly stee­ring such sys­tems in par­ti­cu­lar directions.

What might such poten­ti­al influence look like in prac­ti­cal terms in boxing? The fol­lo­wing examp­les are not state­ments about Xempower’s actu­al sys­tems. They are mere­ly inten­ded to illus­tra­te the gene­ral gover­nan­ce risks that can ari­se when AI-assis­ted jud­ging sys­tems are used.

For exam­p­le, one could ima­gi­ne an AI sys­tem being trained—or being ins­truc­ted during live operation—to assign grea­ter value to attacks exe­cu­ted near the red cor­ner, or alter­na­tively the blue or white cor­ner, than to attacks else­whe­re in the ring.

“Assig­ning grea­ter value” could mean, for exam­p­le, that pun­ches who­se sta­tus as lan­ded blows is not cle­ar­ly estab­lished are clas­si­fied by the AI as lan­ded with an assu­med 1.1‑times-higher pro­ba­bi­li­ty when they occur in that area. This would app­ly equal­ly to both boxers. Howe­ver, anyo­ne awa­re of the ins­truc­tion could exploit the advan­ta­ge by deli­bera­te­ly initia­ting attacks in are­as whe­re the AI assigns them a hig­her value.

Simi­lar­ly, it is con­ceiva­ble that tar­ge­ted AI training—or ins­truc­tions issued during live ope­ra­ti­on, pro­vi­ded that such access to the live sys­tem were tech­ni­cal­ly pos­si­ble and not ade­qua­te­ly secured—could favor par­ti­cu­lar pun­ches or com­bi­na­ti­ons in the analysis.

Such fac­tors could also be com­bi­ned. They could be chan­ged from year to year or even during an ongo­ing com­pe­ti­ti­on, pro­vi­ded someone had access to the sys­tem. What appli­ed in the cur­rent year, or per­haps only to a sin­gle bout, could later be repla­ced by a dif­fe­rent mani­pu­la­ti­on. Pat­terns would the­r­e­fo­re be dif­fi­cult to detect.

The­se are, of cour­se, hypo­the­ti­cal sce­na­ri­os invol­ving forms of influence that appear tech­ni­cal­ly pos­si­ble in prin­ci­ple. And natu­ral­ly, the same issue appli­es to every sport in which AI is given a role in jud­ging. The examp­les abo­ve do not indi­ca­te that Xempower—or anyo­ne else—intends to deve­lop such a capa­bi­li­ty, alre­a­dy pos­s­es­ses one, or has ever used one. Howe­ver, anyo­ne con­side­ring AI as an aid to com­pe­ti­ti­on decis­i­ons should take the­se ques­ti­ons into account.

Info­box: Arti­fi­ci­al Intel­li­gence (AI)
Learn more about arti­fi­ci­al intel­li­gence and its spe­ci­fic characteristics …

Arti­fi­ci­al intel­li­gence (AI) refers to com­pu­ter pro­grams that can per­form tasks that would nor­mal­ly requi­re human abili­ties such as reco­gni­ti­on, lear­ning, or decis­i­on-making. The foun­da­ti­ons of AI date back to the 1950s; howe­ver, powerful AI appli­ca­ti­ons have only beco­me available to the gene­ral public within the past few years.

The­re are dif­fe­rent types of AI. One of the most important today is so-cal­led machi­ne lear­ning: com­pu­ters are trai­ned using lar­ge quan­ti­ties of examp­les from which they inde­pendent­ly deri­ve pat­terns and rela­ti­onships. For exam­p­le, an AI can learn to reco­gni­ze move­ments or pun­ches in video recor­dings wit­hout every pos­si­ble sequence of move­ments having to be pre­de­fi­ned as a fixed rule.

This is also the key dif­fe­rence from con­ven­tio­nal com­pu­ter pro­grams: the­se gene­ral­ly ope­ra­te accor­ding to rules defi­ned in advan­ce by humans. AI, by con­trast, can learn from data and app­ly what it has lear­ned to situa­tions that were not expli­cit­ly pro­grammed. Howe­ver, this does not mean that it will auto­ma­ti­cal­ly make the “right” decision—it always depends on its trai­ning data, its tech­ni­cal design, and the spe­ci­fi­ca­ti­ons pro­vi­ded by its developers.

AI is the­r­e­fo­re par­ti­cu­lar­ly well sui­ted to pro­ces­sing lar­ge amounts of data and to tasks in which recur­ring pat­terns can be iden­ti­fied, for exam­p­le in images, vide­os, or mea­su­re­ment data. It is less sui­ted to ques­ti­ons invol­ving human judgments, cri­te­ria that can­not be objec­tively mea­su­red, or the assess­ment of com­plex indi­vi­du­al cases.

Even Subtle Manipulation Can Have an Effect

If such mani­pu­la­ti­on were car­ri­ed out subt­ly, it would pro­ba­b­ly be bare­ly perceptible—or per­haps com­ple­te­ly imperceptible—to peo­p­le obser­ving a boxing bout amid the inher­ent noi­se and com­ple­xi­ty of the action. Most likely, even experts would have dif­fi­cul­ty reco­gni­zing it.

This would be par­ti­cu­lar­ly true if peo­p­le assu­med that infor­ma­ti­on sup­pli­ed by an AI sys­tem must always repre­sent objec­ti­ve values sim­ply becau­se the sys­tem pres­ents them electronically.

But could such subt­le mani­pu­la­ti­on real­ly deter­mi­ne the out­co­me of com­pe­ti­ti­ons? This needs to be con­side­red carefully.

A sub­stan­ti­al dis­pa­ri­ty in per­for­mance could pro­ba­b­ly only be neu­tra­li­zed through mas­si­ve mani­pu­la­ti­on, which would at the same time be con­spi­cuous. But con­spi­cuous mani­pu­la­ti­on would also mean that the mani­pu­la­ti­on had failed.

Invisible Within Statistical Variation—Yet Effective Over Time

An exam­p­le illus­tra­tes the prin­ci­ple. If a loa­ded die pro­du­ces a “six” 50 times in 100 rolls, ever­yo­ne invol­ved will beco­me sus­pi­cious. Sta­tis­ti­cal­ly, a fair die would be expec­ted to pro­du­ce a six appro­xi­m­ate­ly 16 or 17 times in 100 rolls.

If, howe­ver, a six appears 20 or 25 times in 100 rolls, most peo­p­le would still regard this as an unre­mar­kab­le sta­tis­ti­cal fluctuation—a lucky streak. And inde­ed, even a fair die can occa­sio­nal­ly pro­du­ce 20 or 25 sixes in 100 rolls. The loa­ded die sim­ply pro­du­ces that out­co­me with a signi­fi­cant­ly hig­her probability.

This beco­mes detec­ta­ble only when the sam­ple size is suf­fi­ci­ent­ly lar­ge. The more subt­le the mani­pu­la­ti­on, the­r­e­fo­re, the more likely it is to remain undetected—and remai­ning unde­tec­ted would be the pri­ma­ry objec­ti­ve of anyo­ne attemp­ting to cheat at a game of dice.

The mani­pu­la­ti­on would the­r­e­fo­re have to be cali­bra­ted so that it remain­ed sta­tis­ti­cal­ly incon­spi­cuous when only a limi­t­ed num­ber of events could be obser­ved. Such a loa­ded die would cer­tain­ly lose seve­ral games in suc­ces­si­on from time to time. But over a lon­ger peri­od, the subt­ly loa­ded die would nevert­hel­ess prevail.

This illus­tra­tes how subt­le inter­ven­ti­ons can have an effect pre­cis­e­ly becau­se they are dif­fi­cult to detect.

Appli­ed to boxing, this would mean that weak boxers could hard­ly reach the top of a tournament’s medal table through restrained—and the­r­e­fo­re inconspicuous—preferential tre­at­ment. Over the cour­se of a tour­na­ment, they would encoun­ter oppon­ents who­se supe­rio­ri­ty was so pro­no­un­ced that even subt­le, and the­r­e­fo­re still incon­spi­cuous, advan­ta­ges would not be suf­fi­ci­ent to help them win tho­se bouts.

The situa­ti­on could be dif­fe­rent for strong boxing nati­ons. If strong boxers with a hypo­the­ti­cal secret advan­ta­ge behind them won bouts against cle­ar­ly infe­ri­or oppon­ents, the out­co­me would still appear con­sis­tent with their obser­va­ble superiority.

As they pro­gres­sed through the tour­na­ment and incre­asing­ly encoun­te­red oppon­ents of com­pa­ra­ble abili­ty, such a hypo­the­ti­cal secret advan­ta­ge might pro­vi­de them with the addi­tio­nal two or three appa­rent scoring events in the AI-gene­ra­ted ana­ly­sis that could ulti­m­ate­ly deter­mi­ne a bout.

After all, the jud­ges would have no other basis for their decis­i­on than their own vague obser­va­tions and the equal­ly vague sub­jec­ti­ve impres­si­on deri­ved from them, apart from wha­te­ver infor­ma­ti­on the AI dis­play­ed to them.

Control in the Engine Room

Does this mean that intro­du­cing AI into boxing jud­ging ulti­m­ate­ly achie­ves not­hing becau­se one poten­ti­al source of harm is mere­ly being repla­ced by ano­ther? Whe­re jud­ges could once mani­pu­la­te com­pe­ti­ti­on decis­i­ons, could AI do so in the future?

Yes, an AI-assis­ted scoring sys­tem could in prin­ci­ple be mani­pu­la­ted if its trai­ning data, model para­me­ters or ope­ra­tio­nal ins­truc­tions were deli­bera­te­ly alte­red. But the issue should not be redu­ced to that.

It is cer­tain­ly the right approach to final­ly place scoring on an empi­ri­cal foun­da­ti­on. AI should, in prin­ci­ple, be capa­ble of ana­ly­zing pro­ces­ses as com­plex and dif­fi­cult to stan­dar­di­ze as a boxing bout.

The important caveat is that new tools and methods should not be assu­med to be neu­tral mere­ly becau­se they appear tech­no­lo­gi­cal­ly modern. That would per­haps be some­what naïve.

In this con­text, it is worth remem­be­ring that inter­na­tio­nal sport­ing suc­cess has been part of for­eign poli­cy in many count­ries around the world, and remains so. Medals bring pres­ti­ge. This appli­es par­ti­cu­lar­ly to Olym­pic sports, which attract the atten­ti­on of the glo­bal public every four years.

Whe­ther AI could fun­da­men­tal­ly beco­me a poten­ti­al gate­way for mani­pu­la­ti­on in sport­ing com­pe­ti­ti­on decis­i­ons is likely to depend to a con­sidera­ble ext­ent on two questions:

  • Who regu­la­tes and super­vi­ses the AI’s trai­ning? During trai­ning, the AI lear­ns the sport. Sport­ing and tech­ni­cal exper­ti­se is obvious­ly cen­tral at this stage. But even here, it may be pos­si­ble to estab­lish the foun­da­ti­ons for poten­ti­al manipulation.
  • Who regu­la­tes and super­vi­ses the AI’s deploy­ment? A trai­ned AI sys­tem is not neces­s­a­ri­ly immu­ta­ble. Depen­ding on its tech­ni­cal archi­tec­tu­re, its beha­vi­or can also be influen­ced through model ver­si­ons, con­fi­gu­ra­ti­ons or ope­ra­tio­nal instructions.

Con­trol in the engi­ne room will the­r­e­fo­re be crucial.

Sport would be well advi­sed to regu­la­te and super­vi­se both the trai­ning of AI sys­tems and their sub­se­quent deploy­ment in com­pe­ti­ti­on decis­i­ons in pre­cise detail. This is par­ti­cu­lar­ly important when AI is used in the area whe­re its strengths are most appa­rent: asses­sing com­plex situations.

Becau­se the com­ple­xi­ty of the situa­tions being asses­sed can simul­ta­neous­ly make cer­tain forms of inter­ven­ti­on dif­fi­cult to detect.


Trans­pa­ren­cy note: This text was, some­what iro­ni­cal­ly, trans­la­ted from Ger­man into Eng­lish with the assis­tance of AI and sub­se­quent­ly proofread.

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